HOTY Numbers Game

Many years ago, I would religiously balance my checkbook. The difference between $47.52 and $47.95 could be 4 dime draws at the Cave Inn on Tuesday nights, with $45.03 leftover for "general living expenses". But over the years, grinding numbers turned into mundane minutiae; I had a general knowledge of the amounts of deposits and debits, so a quick glance at my monthly bank statement would suffice.

The same could be said for horse races that have that mysterious minus-negative-six-feet-under-and-pushing-up-daisies Show Pools. I don’t understand them. I don’t even try. It only matters if I'm holding a winning ticket on that race.

Additionally, the numbers crunched for points in the TBA Standings get similar attention. I have glanced at them on occasion and they appear to reflect what’s happening in horse racing. Father-and-Inventor of the TBA, Patrick, implemented standings that dishes out points in conjunction with graded stakes. Or something to that effect. A worthwhile idea, as I had pondered a couple of years ago, but not without its pitfalls. And the horse with the highest number of points would be crowned TBA Horse of the Year. And according to the TBA Standings, the 2008 TBA HOTY is Zenyatta.

Zenyatta? Huh?!?

Turf writer and good friend to Post Parade, Gary West of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, sums it up with one word:

"Flapdoodle," proclaims the Professor.

Gary West goes on to write in his blog,

[Zenyatta] was unbeaten in seven races, but except for the Apple Blossom at Oaklawn Park she raced exclusively in California. She earned $2,090,580 this year, and among her victories were four Grade I stakes, in which she defeated a total of 21 starters.

Curlin...[won] the world’s richest race, the Dubai World Cup. And then he traveled from Kentucky to New York to California, running in major events all along the journey. He won five of seven, his only losses coming on turf and faux dirt. He won four of his six Grade I stakes, where he defeated a total of 46 horses. And he earned $5,399,000 this year, pushing his career earnings beyond $10 million, to become the richest horse ever to race in North America.

Clearly, their accomplishments are not comparable. Curlin earned more than twice as much money and beat more than twice as many top horses as Zenyatta.

Yes, something looks amiss in the TBA standings.

However, Kennedy’s Corridor maintains its own Thoroughbred Championship Rankings. The industrious horseplayer/blogger uses a complex algorithm that uses deductions and bonuses and decimals that has me reaching for a Michelob just to get through the instructions. As you can see by the displayed rankings, there’s a remarkable difference between Kennedy’s Championship Rankings and the TBA Standings, and (I hate to say this) Kennedy’s appear to be supportive of what actually occurred in horse racing in 2008.

Anyway, in the end, the Eclipse will be decided by votes from a group of scotch-swilling-cigar-smoking turf writers, not by algorithms, calculations, nor the quadratic equation. And Old Friends will gladly accept the TBA’s charitable contribution regardless if the TBA HOTY is Zenyatta, Curlin, Big Brown, or Tres Borrachos.

A Request Granted

This morning I received a request from a fellow horse racing enthusiast, asking for my thoughts and input about his own horse racing blog, Amateurcapper. I obliged the request and have opted to share with you my reply:

Rob,

You flatter me! Asking me to read your blog and provide my opinion! I'm delighted!

After perusing through Amateurcapper, the most obvious piece of information is that it is blue. Blue is a nice color. I like blue. I painted my daughter's room blue. I also won a blue ribbon in the 5th grade for the Three-Legged Race with my girlfriend, Pam. And my neighbor has a hound dog named Blue who's a nice doggie even though he poops in my yard. So blue is good.

Secondly, I noticed that you are very articulate about discussing horse racing, both in terms of handicapping as well as reviewing races. We have this common. Well, the horse racing part, anyway. Whereas my handicapping skills usually entail either (1) consuming two frozen margaritas, (2) spinning a Magic Beer Bottle, or (3) a good guess, I would speculate that our blogs would be quite dissimilar regarding this topic. That is good because I detest literary competition.

Additionally, I noted that you have a lovely blog list of some notable horse racing blogs. However, I noted that you have blatantly omitted Post Parade, West Points, I Need a Martini Mom, and Plumbing 101, which is a must on the blogroll because you never know when your son or daughter may flush a pudding cup down the toilet. However, I presume that these omissions are a minor oversight on your part as I'm fully aware that you have been consumed with the Breeders' Cup World Championships recently as well as devising a new strategy to win at Scrabble by scoring 96 points with the word ZENYATTA.

Needless to say, you are a competent horse racing blogger and I, for one, would welcome another intelligent voice to the TBA.

2008 Breeders' Cup Selections

The 2008 Breeders' Cup is nigh so now comes the time to post my selections. After perusing through the myriad of past performances, I handicapped a race and concluded that Zenyatta will be tough to beat. As for the other 13 Breeders' Cup races spread over the two day Fiesta de Santa Anita, I conserved energy and opted to drink a beer and took a stab or two.

And speaking of beer, Post Parade is proud to present the Second Annual Magic Beer Bottle Breeders' Cup Selection. The official beer bottle provided for this year's Magic Beer Bottle Breeders' Cup Selection is original formula Schlitz, the beer that made Milwaukee famous.

Schlitz: Go for the Gusto!

*Pabst Brewing Company is not directly or indirectly implying any approval, association, sponsorship, endorsement, or affiliation to the use of empty beer bottles for the use of wagering selections for the Breeders' Cup. Bet and drink responsibly.

2008 Breeders’ Cup Selections

	Sue	Magic Beer Bottle
Filly & Mare Sprint	Indian Blessing	Indyanne
Juvenile Fillies Turf	Sugar Mom	Saucey Evening
Juvenile Fillies	Dream Empress	Evita Argentina
Filly & Mare Turf	Wait a While	Folk Opera
Ladies Classic	Zenyatta	Zenyatta
Marathon	Delightful Kiss	Church Service
Turf Sprint	Mr. Nightlinger	Diabolical
Dirt Mile	Well Armed	Surf Cat
Mile	Goldikova	Kip Deville
Juvenile	Bushranger	West Side Bernie
Juvenile Turf	Grand Adventure	Paddy The Pro
Sprint	Cost of Freedom	Street Boss
Turf	Grand Couturier	Winchester
Classic	Curlin	Go Between

It's noteworthy that last year both the Magic Beer Bottle and I selected a couple of winners, Kip Deville and Curlin, respectively. Since the Magic Beer Bottle demonstrated success ($18.40) in selecting last year's Mile, I left the defending champion as its selection. And then there are the races that scream, "Just try to find a winner without the use of a dart board! I dare you!" Like the Juvenile Fillies Turf; I settled on Sugar Mom because she looks interesting and she'll be a nice price. She's won her last three races, has some nice breeding, and Mr. Catalano and Mr. Calabrese are familiar with the Breeders' Cup Winner's Circle, having had great success with another turf filly, Dreaming of Anna. And how can you not like the name Sugar Mom? However, I assure you, my handicapping expertise is equivalent to the Magic Beer Bottle in those cases.

Anyway, be sure to stop by the TBA homepage as various members have posted their selections for the 2008 Breeders' Cup. Have a great Breeders' Cup and remember to go for the gusto!

Naming Rights and Wrongs

Historically, corporate naming rights was a concept that appeared back in 1972 when Rich Products Corporation acquired naming rights for Buffalo’s new NFL stadium for a dozen space heaters, two snowblowers, and $1.5 million. Since then, corporate sponsorship of sports and concert venues, golf tournaments, college football bowl games, anything NASCAR, badminton events, frat parties, and horse races – particularly the Kentucky Derby presented by Yum! Brands and the Friday Night Cuervo Gold Margarita Madness Mile - are widespread.

The Breeders’ Cup World Championships are no exception. Corporations have sponsored 9 of the 14 races this year. Sentient Air Group, Bessemer Trust, Emirates Airlines, TVG, and Grey Goose Vodka are excited to attach their name to high profile races all for the glory of advertising and subsequent revenue.

I don’t get it.

Whose attention are these corporations planning to attract? It appears that the Breeders’ Cup has made great strides to secure sponsors that have associations with moneyed individuals, like Warren Buffet and Curlin,

Buffy Buffet: Oooh, honey! Look-ee! Sentient Flight Group is a sponsor! Their round-trip fare in the continental United States is only $7,700! What a bargain!

Emirates Airline has been shuttling sheikhs and Zayats back and forth since the Crusades. And according to their website, Emirates Airline can fly me to Ahmedabad for a mere $1,205. If I was actually going to Ahmedabad, I might consider this a great deal. However, I’m fairly certain that I don’t want to go there. And I’m also fairly certain that 98.76% of the folks hanging out at the racetrack and local OTBs don’t want to go there either. Personally, I can relate more to Southwest Airlines, particularly the “Friends Fly Free” and “Fun Fare” shill.

Bessemer Trust isn’t even interested in me, the middling railbird, as a possible client and flatly informs me,

Enhancing Private Wealth for Generations

Admittedly, I easily recognize Grey Goose Vodka. And I’m now compelled to use it in future martinis. Let that be a lesson, Stolichnaya! Hah!

Surprisingly absent this year is a corporate sponsor to the Breeders’ Cup Classic Formerly Powered by Dodge. As a Texan, I could identify with Dodge. The Dodge Ram 1500 is the state truck of Texas and driven by all 236 residents in Deaf Smith County. And Breeders’ Cup couldn’t find another sponsor to be associated with a race with a $5 million purse? Unbelievable. Geez, the Superbowl can get a corporate sponsor for the coin toss, for heaven’s sake. But apparently, Pepsi, Bank of America, Tostitos, and Poulan Weedeater were unavailable or not interested in the richest horse race in North America.

I’m not a marketing guru and I certainly don’t pretend to understand the Breeders’ Cup marketing strategy or advertising schemes. However, Greg Avioli, Breeders’ Cup President, admits that one of the goals of the Breeders’ Cup is to bring new fans to the sport and that has yet to be realized. Naming rights is the tour de force of advertising. New fans and/or the general public that is aware that horse racing exists, should be able to recognize some of the corporate sponsors. Take NASCAR, for instance. The public recognizes the Home Depot car and the Budweiser car, zipping by at 422 miles per hour, and the public clearly knows that the drivers are Buford Snodgrass III and Nancy Pelosi. Or whoever it is because I really don’t know anything about NASCAR. But I know Home Depot. I know Budweiser. Thus, I’m not a complete moron when anybody talks NASCAR, only a partial moron.

Perhaps Breeders’ Cup might embrace corporate sponsors that the everyman can recognize. There are five Breeders’ Cup races without a corporate sponsor this year. Maybe Greg Avioli should consider calling Home Depot. I like Home Depot. And they have the right supportive philosophy,

You can do it. We can help.

Amazon Invasion

I love the Official Photo of the Breeders’ Cup Legends Tour 2008. Angel Cordero, Jr., Laffit Pincay, Jr., and Pat Day, look bold and tough and confident. If you were completely unfamiliar with horse racing and the diminutive stature of jockeys, these guys could pass for lumberjacks.

Therefore I am providing a fresh perspective of the Hall of Fame jockeys with the addition of a typical 5’8”, 130 lb* racing fan:


*in my dreams!